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Raahi Bhushan on Algos, AI, and Surviving a Massive Market Rally
“I see that my edge will start diminishing over the next two to three years as AI becomes more prevalent. Can I look at trading as a very long-term solution today? I don’t.”
While Raahi Bhushan’s grandfather built generational wealth starting in the 1970s through patient, long-term investing and deep fundamental analysis, Raahi’s journey took a much more volatile path. After scaling an EdTech startup during the pandemic and successfully selling it, Raahi sought a flexible career that would allow him to focus on his newborn child. He turned to the derivatives market.
Relying on a basic mean-reversion mindset, he quickly made ₹40 Lakhs in 2023 – a classic case of beginner’s luck. However, when the market entered a relentless, one-way bull run later that year, his stubborn refusal to cut his short positions resulted in a devastating single-day loss of nearly ₹1 Crore. Instead of walking away, he dove deep into the math behind complex financial instruments, coding a robust suite of trend-following and mean-reversion algorithms to completely remove human stubbornness from his execution.
Key Takeaways:
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The Danger of Pure Mean-Reversion: Raahi Bhushan’s massive ₹99 Lakh drawdown happened because he kept aggressively averaging down on short positions during a structural bull market. You must have trend-following systems in place to act as a circuit breaker when the market refuses to reverse.
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The AI Expiration Date: Unlike most traders who view the market as a lifelong career, Raahi Bhushan believes the retail algorithmic edge has a strict expiration date. As AI rapidly simplifies coding and quantitative analysis, the barrier to entry will collapse, turning the derivatives market into an impossibly hyper-competitive arena within the next 2-3 years.
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Exploit AI Now: Instead of fearing AI, Raahi Bhushan uses it aggressively. Tools that would have required a team of 100 developers just three years ago can now be built by a solo trader in under three hours. If you aren’t using AI to write your trading scripts today, you are already behind.
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The Open-Source Advantage: Operating under the pseudonym Raahi Bhushan on Twitter and Substack, he open-sources his algorithms and detailed trade logic. By opening his systems to public scrutiny, he forces himself to constantly innovate and fix blind spots highlighted by the broader trading community.
Looking Ahead
Raahi Bhushan’s profound self-awareness sets him apart; he knows exactly what his current edge is, and he knows exactly when it will expire. We at CapMint echo his vital warning: the financial markets are evolving at lightning speed. To survive the coming technological shift, traders must aggressively adopt AI tools today while continuously preparing for a future where traditional retail advantages no longer exist.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Investments in securities or other financial instruments are subject to market risk, including partial or total loss of capital. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always consider your financial situation carefully and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment or trading decisions.
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